Discussion of Findings (emphasis added)
Although this is a preliminary analysis and based on the limited data provided by Virginia for a September Work Group, these data are sufficient to derive estimates of Training Center [public Intermediate Care Facilities for Individuals with Intellectual Disabilities/ ICFs/IID] and community mortality rates for a population that initially all resided in Training Centers. Excluding the CVTC population from the estimation of mortality since it includes those at exceptional risk of dying, the estimated mortality in those transitioning to the community is double that of those who remained in Training Centers.
This remarkably higher mortality in the community might be partially explained simply by the risks of moving very vulnerable individuals into a new support system. However, a doubling of the mortality rate seems to be a very steep price to pay for this transition, and there is no assurance that this doubling will be a transient phenomenon.
Read full analysis here